China Urea Supply & Demand 2016-2021

China Urea Market 2016-2021:
The Demise of the Global Marginal Supplier

China is the world’s largest urea producer, with its domestic capacity doubling over the past 15 years.

Older capacity is being shut-in, new capacity is being built and demand is peaking: how will this impact the global urea cost curve?

This unique study examines ALL the relevant dynamics shaping the Chinese urea market. With this report in hand, you’ll determine the impact of China urea production and consumption on the global urea market into 2021. The report, informed by data from inside the country takes an inside look at the spectrum of influences on the Chinese urea market including:

Production and Capacity

  • China Urea Production, Capacity, and Utilization Rate 2000-2016 (mmt)
  • The Evolution of Chinese Urea Capacity and Exports
  • China Urea Production Capacity Development 2003-2021 (mmt, nameplate)
  • Chinese Capacity by Feedstock 2003-2016 (mmt and percent of total urea production)
  • Chinese Capacity by Feedstock 2021 (mmt and percent of total urea production)
    • Anthracite Coal
    • Non-Anthrcite Coal
    • Oil
    • Natural Gas
    • Coking Gas
  • China Anthracite Resources, by Region 2016
  • Vertical Integration of China Anthracite Based Producers, 2014-2016
    • JAMG
    • YMG
    • Lanhua Group
  • New Urea Production Capacity, by Feedstock, 2013-2021
  • Anthracite Coal Based Urea Producers, by Region 2016 (‘000 mt)
    • Shanxi
    • Shandong
    • Henan
    • Hubei
    • Hebei
    • Anhui
    • Jiangsu
    • Yunnan
  • Non-Anthracite Coal Based UreaCapacity by Region, 2016 (mmt)
    • Inner Mongolia
    • Shandong
    • Xinjiang
    • Henan
    • Anhui
    • Shaanxi
    • Shanxi
    • Jiangsu
    • Heilongjiang
  • Distribution of Anthracite Coal Based Urea Producers in China
  • Distribution of Non-Anthracite Coal Based Urea Producers in China

China Urea Production Cost Curve (cost of urea production)

  • China Urea Supply Curve, by Feedstock
    • Anthracite Coal
    • Non-Anthrcite Coal
    • Oil
    • Natural Gas
    • Coking Gas
  • China Urea Cost Curve by Province
  • Coal Based Urea Capacity by Gasification Technology 2016 (‘000mt):
    • UGI
    • HT-L
    • MOB
    • GE
    • MCSG
    • BGL
    • QHL
    • Shell
    • ROCG
    • Lurgl
    • CAGG
    • Undok
  • China Coal-Based Urea Producer Avg. Input Cost, by Technology 2016 (RMB/mt FOB plant)
  • China Anthracite-Based Urea Producer Cost of Production 2013-2016 (export tax included, VAT excluded)
  • Anthracite Producer Cost of Production and Export Netback
  • Forward Potential Shutdown of Gas Based Urea Producers
  • Vertical Integration of Urea Producers 2016, by Feedstock (‘000 mt/year)
  • Vertical Integration of Urea Producers 2021, by Feedstock (‘000 mt/year)
  • Equity Ownership of Urea Producers
    • Private Ownership
    • State Owned Enterprises
  • Equity Ownership of Urea Producers 2016 vs. 2021, by Feedstock
  • China Urea Production Capacity Outlook
  • China Urea Production Additions/Subtractions 2003-2021 (mmt)
  • New China Urea Urea Production Capacity 2017 and Forward

Government Policy Overview and Impact of VAT Tax

  • China Urea Subsidy Programs, Status and Impact
    • Electrical Power
    • Natural Gas
    • Rail Rate
    • VAT
    • Slow Season Stock Program

China Urea Demand

  • China Fertilizer Application, N, P, K and Compound, 1995 -2015 (‘000 mt nutrient)
  • China Fertilizer Application, N, P, K and Compound, 1995-2015 (% of total)
  • Growth Rate of N, P, K and Compound Fertilizer Application in China 1995-2015
  • China Crop Acreage, Grain and Total 1995-2016 (‘000 ha.)
  • China N,P,K and Compound Fertilizer Application Rates per Hectare 1995-2015 (kg/ha)
  • China Grain Acreage, by Crop 2002-2021 (‘000 ha.)
    • Wheat
    • Rice
    • Corn
    • Cotton
    • Sugarcane
    • Vegetables
  • Urea Demand from Major Crops
  • China Major Grain Acreage, by Crop 2002-2021 (‘000 ha.)
    • Wheat
    • Rice
    • Corn
    • Soybean
  • China Urea Application Rate on Major Crops, 2005-2021 (kg/ha)
  • China Urea Demand from Major Crops, 2007-2021 (‘000 mt)
  • China Grain Subsidies
  • China Major Grain and Oilseed Prices, 2001-2016 (RMB/mt)
    • Corn
    • Wheat
    • Indica Rice
    • NE China Japonica Rice
    • Crushing Soybean
  • China Urea Seasonal Demand, % of Annual Total by Month
  • NPK (Compound) Fertilizer Production on Urea Demand in China
  • Compound Fertilizer Demand for Urea 2006-2021
  • China Resin Industry Urea Demand 2007-2021
  • China Melamine Industry Urea Demand 2007-2021
  • China Melamine Production and Capacity 2004-2016
  • China SCR/Pollution Control on Urea Demand
  • China Power Generation 2000-2021
  • China SCR DeNOx Urea Consumption 2012-2021

China Urea Supply and Demand Forecast 2021, Bull, Base, Bear Scenarios

China Urea Market 2016-2021

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